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BTC: why it moved

Generated 9/6/2026, 8:05:50 AM(New York) · Based on a real data snapshot at generation time

TL;DR

Bitcoin is trading around $79,919. It's seen small gains recently, with the market generally feeling greedy. Expectations about future interest rate cuts are shifting, and upcoming inflation data could be a key event.

Recent price action

BTC is currently priced at $79,919. It's up 0.3% in the last 24 hours and 1.4% over the past 7 days. The perpetual funding rate is 0.0039%, meaning traders who bet on prices going up (longs) are paying a small fee to hold their positions. The Fear & Greed Index is at 73, indicating a "greedy" market sentiment.

What expectations are shifting

Market expectations are shifting regarding future interest rate cuts. The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting rates by 25 basis points in September 2026 is currently 0%, down from previous expectations. Also, the chance of Bitcoin dipping to $45,000 by the end of 2026 has decreased to 8%, down significantly over the last 30 days. The likelihood of the Fed not cutting rates at all in 2026 has increased to 93%.

The next big event

The next major event is the release of the CPI inflation data for August, expected in about 5 days. The market is currently pricing in a 46.0% chance that the US annual inflation rate will be exactly 3.4%. Historically, Bitcoin has seen an average fluctuation of ±1.6% in the 24 hours after CPI data is released.

Risks

Recent news highlights a strengthening correlation between Bitcoin and gold, suggesting a potential shift away from its link with tech stocks. While some see significant upside potential, others, like Bill Gates, remain skeptical, calling it a "mania-driven asset." This suggests a divergence in opinions about Bitcoin's long-term value.

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