BTC: why it moved
Generated 8/29/2026, 8:05:55 AM(New York) · Based on a real data snapshot at generation time
TL;DR
(Automatic data digest: the AI draft failed numeric fact-check and was replaced with raw verified data.)
Recent price action
BTC 现价 $77,592,近24h -2.3%,近7d +0.4% BTC 永续资金费率 0.0099%(正=多头付费) 宏观:美债10Y 4.72%(日+1.20%);美元指数 99.68(日+0.51%);QQQ $716.4(日+0.71%);恐惧贪婪指数 68(贪婪,0=最恐慌 100=最狂热) 市场预期(Polymarket 真金白银定价,概率涨跌=预期在变): - 美联储 2026 年 9 月会议降息 25 个基点吗? 当前 1%,7天-0.4个百分点,30天-2.7个百分点,概率截至约7分钟前 - Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? 当前 23%,7天-2.0个百分点,30天-32.0个百分点,概率截至约7分钟前 - 2026 年美联储全年一次都不降息吗? 当前 88%,7天+1.9个百分点,30天-1.7个百分点,概率截至约12分钟前 - 比特币会在 12 月 31 日前涨到 $150K 吗? 当前 3%,7天-0.1个百分点,30天-0.3个百分点,概率截至约7分钟前 - 比特币会在 8 月内涨到 $100,000 吗? 当前 0%,7天-1.3个百分点,概率截至约10分钟前 - Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? 当前 17%,7天-1.6个百分点,30天-26.1个百分点,概率截至约7分钟前 接下来的大事件: - 非农就业报告(2026-08 数据)约 6 天后公布(9/4 20:30 北京时间) - 这类数据公布后 24 小时,BTC 历史典型波动 ±1.1%(过去 14 次,5 次涨) - 上一次(2026-07 数据,8/7公布)落地后 24 小时 BTC -0.2% 近期新闻标题(英文原文): - Dow Jones Futures: Microsoft, Titans Mask Market Weakness. Here's What To Do. - Would You Use a Debit Card That Offers 2% Cashback in Bitcoin? This Popular Cryptocurrency Exchange Thinks You Will. - Man Recovers £3.3M Bitcoin Wallet After 12 Years as BTC Nears Major $81K–$86K Supply Wall - Bitcoin, Ethereum And HYPE? Charles Schwab's Adam Lynch Maps Out A Crypto Portfolio As Debasement Fears Build - Coinbase Global (COIN) Opens Bitcoin Backed Mortgages To Qualified US Homebuyers
Risks
Real data snapshot only — not investment advice; data may lag.