BTC: why it moved
Generated 8/22/2026, 8:06:01 PM(New York) · Based on a real data snapshot at generation time
TL;DR
(Automatic data digest: the AI draft failed numeric fact-check and was replaced with raw verified data.)
Recent price action
BTC 现价 $77,125,近24h -1.1%,近7d +22.3% BTC 永续资金费率 0.0100%(正=多头付费) 宏观:美债10Y 4.74%(日+0.89%);美元指数 98.84(日-0.06%);QQQ $713.4(日+0.35%);恐惧贪婪指数 66(贪婪,0=最恐慌 100=最狂热) 市场预期(Polymarket 真金白银定价,概率涨跌=预期在变): - Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? 当前 28%,7天-30.0个百分点,30天-19.0个百分点,概率截至约7分钟前 - 2026 年美联储全年一次都不降息吗? 当前 86%,7天+0.9个百分点,30天+1.7个百分点,概率截至约7分钟前 - 美联储 2026 年 9 月会议降息 25 个基点吗? 当前 1%,7天+0.1个百分点,30天-2.7个百分点,概率截至约7分钟前 - 比特币会在 12 月 31 日前涨到 $150K 吗? 当前 3%,7天+0.5个百分点,30天-0.4个百分点,概率截至约7分钟前 - 比特币会在 8 月内涨到 $100,000 吗? 当前 2%,7天+1.6个百分点,概率截至约12分钟前 - Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? 当前 19%,7天-22.1个百分点,30天-22.3个百分点,概率截至约7分钟前 接下来的大事件: - 非农就业报告(2026-08 数据)约 12.5 天后公布(9/4 20:30 北京时间) - 这类数据公布后 24 小时,BTC 历史典型波动 ±1.1%(过去 14 次,5 次涨) - 上一次(2026-07 数据,8/7公布)落地后 24 小时 BTC -0.2% 近期新闻标题(英文原文): - Strive Director Pierre Rochard Buys 15,900 Shares After 86% Decline. Is a Rebound Coming? - $830 Million in an Hour: XRP and TRUMP Drive New Record in South Korea - Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs Score Biggest Week Since October with $2.3 Billion - Michael Howell Says 2026 Won't Be A Big Year For Bitcoin, Sees 30-Year Yield Going Higher - Dow Jones Futures: Market Rally Repairs Some Damage As Nvidia Looms; New Trump Tariffs On Canada
Risks
Real data snapshot only — not investment advice; data may lag.