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BTC: why it moved

Generated 8/17/2026, 8:06:06 AM(New York) · Based on a real data snapshot at generation time

TL;DR

Bitcoin (BTC) is currently priced at $63,620, showing a slight increase of 0.9% in the last 24 hours but a decrease of 1.9% over the past week. The market is experiencing some uncertainty, likely influenced by macroeconomic factors and recent news.

Recent price action

BTC is trading at $63,620. It has increased by 0.9% in the last 24 hours but has decreased by 1.9% over the past week. The funding rate for perpetual contracts is at 0.0060%, indicating that long positions are currently paying short positions.

What expectations are shifting

Market expectations are showing some shifts. The probability of Bitcoin reaching $250,000 by December 31 is currently at 2%, which is down by 0.1 percentage points over the past week but up by 0.2 percentage points over the last 30 days. The likelihood of Bitcoin hitting a new all-time high by the same date is at 4%, unchanged over the past week.

The next big event

The next major event is the non-farm payroll report, set to be released in about 18 days on September 4 at 20:30 Beijing time. Historically, Bitcoin has shown typical fluctuations of ±1.1% within 24 hours of such reports, with a mixed outcome in previous instances.

Risks

There are some risks in the market right now. The Fear and Greed Index is at 31, indicating a state of fear among investors. Additionally, recent news about data breaches and significant losses in the crypto sector may contribute to market volatility. Overall, this period seems to lack clear news drivers, suggesting that price movements may be more related to natural fluctuations in capital flow.

Macro calendar: the next big event →Turn this logic into a rule backtest →